Tuesday, September 28, 2010

we2.0 will not reform his own life?


Monk into the night, Wang Ge, Lv Xinxin, Bo Xing, Wang Yi, Zhan Bin, dinner parties and armed forces, during the dinner, we can not help but talk about a topic WEB2.0. A little black humor, although everyone is doing WEB2.0 but we surprisingly agree on a point that most of the new-WE
B2.0 in the next one year, the company will die.

Yesterday, I wrote a chapter "IDG Why not vote web2.0", a lot of network media are transferred, today there are friends on and I said, how do you, and more vigorously to IDC, IDC ah to be back? I said, I really do not fall IDC, IDC not vote WEB2.0 I think is very reasonable, perhaps, the article title to read "IDC why should they vote WEB2.0" would be more reasonable.

Most of the newly created WEB2.0 companies will disappear in the near future does not mean bad WEB2.0. On the contrary, precisely because the future of WEB2.0 very good and the trend will lead to a large number of company start-WEB2.0 death, and contributed to the death of these WEB2.0 companies in addition to awakening the portal (including search portals like Portal ), the greater will be the industry to exist, WEB1.0 age grew up shell or shell site software.

Personally believe that the future commercial value from the analysis and the Internet company's development path, the existing ALEXA ranking in 2000 (even 3000) were less than with a segment leading website, or P2P, search, IM and other services industry and market position combined with three client software would be a good shell resources. The former, such as IDG investments 163 888 (though I personally think that YYFC better, but the capital involved, those small gap can quickly make up), VERYCD, CHINABBS, QIHOO, who like hearing thunder, FLASHGET, Zhou Broadcom, MXIE etc. .

Why are these WEB1.0 grew up in the times website or software will be more ups than WEB2.0 future? I feel that this and bad times WEB2.0 competitive environment and the low threshold WEB2.0 itself a great relationship. On the one hand, for these companies, they do not SINA, SOHU, as the huge body, but the current size and status, make of them, such as start-ups as Shenqingruyan, you can always turn around, or is an imitation. Even their own little innovation, but the mere imitation can quickly catch up from behind.

On the other hand, WEB2.0 industrial development makes new companies than the traditional Internet companies need more resources, which more reflected in the flow of resources for population and income sources.

From the flow point of view, ALEXA2000 name within the site or the software market in the top three most of the accumulation of experience for a long time, through the contents of traction, in a sub-segments achieved a leading position. View from the user base, the professional segment of the market position of its own interests gathered in a similar population, has a good foundation WEB2.0. Can achieve a good change from WEB1.0 to WEB2.0. A typical example 163 888 or YYFC can quickly change image potatoes, watercress such WEB2.0 mode. Relatively fixed populations and habits can make it much faster than the speed of development is now the newly created group WEB2.0 company. Judging from the revenue, can sustain the first three sites and the software industry itself has formed a shape of the business model or source of income, WEB1.0 WEB2.0 changes to the process, as long as proper control can be very good implementation of change, which is obviously still looking for the business model WEB2.0 startups are not available.

Of course, not to say that the new companies WEB2.0 not have the opportunity, in these newly created WEB2.0 companies must have a lot of ultimately successful or even to Nasdaq IPO. But for most of the newly created WEB2.0 companies, grew up a lot of WEB1.0 time the existence of shell companies will give customers and venture investors have more choice, and new companies to go WEB2.0 Road is much more difficult than imagined.






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